On the Stabilization of the Spread of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic in the World
Abita Rahmoune 1 *
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1 Laboratory of Pure and Applied Mathematics, University of Laghouat, Laghouat, ALGERIA* Corresponding Author

Abstract

At the end of December 2019, a novel coronavirus (2019-Cov) emerged in China specifically it appeared in the city of Wuhan, and it has spread to the entire world very fast and in a very short time, and they posed an international public health emergency in a couple of weeks, and has attracted global attention and attained recently the position of a very high-risk category by world health organization (WHO).
This research concerns to investigate the course of the pandemic by mathematical modeling based on the information that the time-dependent change (spreading) rate of the H number of individuals who have caught a contagious disease is proportional to the multiplication of the numbers of those who have caught the disease in time delay and those who have not. According to the results of the mathematical modeling in our study, the course of the pandemic to be stable in the near time.

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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Article Type: Original Article

EUROPEAN J MED ED TE, 2020, Volume 13, Issue 1, Article No: em2004

https://doi.org/10.30935/ejmets/8015

Publication date: 22 Apr 2020

Article Views: 1174

Article Downloads: 719

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