At the end of December 2019, a novel coronavirus (2019-Cov) emerged in China specifically it appeared in the city of Wuhan, and it has spread to the entire world very fast and in a very short time, and they posed an international public health emergency in a couple of weeks, and has attracted global attention and attained recently the position of a very high-risk category by world health organization (WHO).
This research concerns to investigate the course of the pandemic by mathematical modeling based on the information that the time-dependent change (spreading) rate of the H number of individuals who have caught a contagious disease is proportional to the multiplication of the numbers of those who have caught the disease in time delay and those who have not. According to the results of the mathematical modeling in our study, the course of the pandemic to be stable in the near time.
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Article Type: Original Article
EUROPEAN J MED ED TE, 2020, Volume 13, Issue 1, Article No: em2004
Publication date: 22 Apr 2020
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